The 90 Day Chokepoint: How Beijing Could Paralyze Western Industry

The makings of modern warfare, energy, and AI pass through a supply line increasingly concentrated overseas.

REalloys (NASDAQ:ALOY), is building the infrastructure to become America’s first fully integrated rare earth mine-to-magnet company, designed to shift leverage back.

“Critical minerals processing will be the equivalent of 19^th century oil refineries – at a Rockefeller moment.” ⁱ

Last century, wars were fought over oil.

This century, the stakes have shifted toward something even scarcer, and arguably more strategic: rare earth elements and the magnets they power.

These magnets sit inside nearly every advanced system that defines modern technological dominance, from AI data centers and smartphones to missile guidance systems and fifth-generation fighter jets.

“The F-35, for instance, requires more than 900 pounds of rare earth elements. Each Arleigh Burke DDG-51 destroyer requires 5,200 pounds, and a Virginia class submarine needs 9,200 pounds.” ⁱⁱ

If rare earth magnets suddenly vanished, the disruption would be immediate and severe.

Screens would go dark. Manufacturing would stall. Even products that don’t contain rare earth magnets directly are often produced by machines that do.

On today’s warfront, the dependency is even starker. In 2024 alone, Ukraine produced roughly 1.2 million drones.ⁱⁱⁱ At least 97% of them relied on rare earth magnets processed in China.^iv

No magnets. No drones.

No drones. No modern battlefield.

This isn’t a mining problem. As President Trump put it, “There’s no such thing as rare earths. There’s rare processing.”^v

Rare earths are abundant across the United States, Brazil, Australia, and Africa. The bottleneck is the complex machinery needed for refining and manufacturing rare earths into high performance magnets.

Over four decades these capabilities have shifted to China – the result of a decades-long gameplan to control every step of the value chain.^vi

Today, China controls as much as 95% of global rare earth processing and magnet manufacturing.^vii

At the mining stage, CCP-backed firms secured foreign deposits using equity stakes and diplomatic leverage, especially in Africa, Southeast Asia, and South America.^viii
At the processing stage, they flooded capital into refining capacity, bypassing environmental safeguards to outcompete rivals. When Western firms attempted to build competing facilities, prices were driven down artificially, with the China-controlled Asian Metal Index used as a pricing lever.^ix
And when it comes to technology, China has almost total control over the specialized equipment that make refining and magnet production possible, from separation systems to high-temperature furnaces – even the spare parts that keep them running.^x

That playbook has left America dangerously exposed.

In critical industries like defense, aerospace, and energy, reliance at this scale creates leverage. And leverage rarely favors the dependent party.

The vulnerability became shockingly clear when the White House threatened sweeping tariffs, and China rebuffed that it could restrict rare earth exports.^xi

Advanced defense systems, robotics platforms, and key electronics would stall within a few months if they proceeded.

President Trump was forced to reverse course to preserve crucial supply lines.^xii The message was unmistakable – the imbalance can no longer be ignored. Rare earths have moved to the frontline of national security and trade policy.

If the United States intends to compete in the age of AI, drone warfare, and advanced defense systems, it must restore its processing capacity.

REalloys (NASDAQ:ALOY) is one of the first North American company to begin reversing that imbalance.

China’s dominance is built on feedstock aggregation and large scaled mid-stream processing infrastructure. REalloys is replicating that model in North America at an unprecedented pace.

By the first half of 2027, REalloys aims to become the largest producer of heavy rare earth oxides and metals outside of China, backed by some of the most advanced commercial-scale separation and metallization assets available.

By advancing plans to become a fully integrated rare earth magnet manufacturer, they are building the infrastructure to help shift leverage back to North America.

Closing A Critical Bottleneck

REalloys didn’t wait for Washington to recognize the risk. They saw it early and moved fast.

Acquiring capacity that took years to build, securing supply from the highest value resources and developing technology 100% independent of China’s grip.

This translates into a multi-year head start on the competition.

And they hold another decisive advantage. REalloys strategy will span the entire supply chain, from feedstock sourcing to refining to magnet manufacturing.

They understood that if even one layer is missing, the supply chain is fully exposed.

Securing the Raw Source Material

REalloys (NASDAQ:ALOY) is building a supply base to keep material flowing even if one source slows down. Its pipeline includes more than twenty recycled feed sources and over ten primary mining partners.

At the center of that strategy is Hoidas Lake in Saskatchewan.

Hoidas Lake Project – The property being advanced by REalloys with more than $40 million invested to date. Current estimates point to a 3.8 million tonne rare earth resource,^xiii with abundant magnet-critical minerals. Neodymium and praseodymium, account for roughly 26%, and more importantly heavy rare earths such as dysprosium and terbium.^xiv

Hoidas is not yet in production, but as processing expands, future supply is secured with an asset REalloys owns and operates.

Beyond its own asset base, additional future supply is locked in through strategic offtake agreements.

Tanbreez Project – Through a multi-year contract with Critical Metals Corp. REalloys has access of to up to 15% of the Tanbreez project’s future production. Located in Southern Greenland, the deposit contains 9 million tonnes of rare earth ores.^xv

Production is expected to begin in Q1 2029 and have a mine life of ~25 years.
Araxá Project – REalloys has also secured access from St. George Mining of up to 40% of future production from the Araxá project in Brazil. Araxá contains 6 million tonnes of rare earth ores, at a notably higher concentration than many comparable deposits.^xvi

The project has a ~40-year mine life, in an established mining district with existing infrastructure and a skilled workforce.

Modernizing Mineral Processing With AI

When REalloys (NASDAQ:ALOY) committed to building a fully independent rare earth supply chain, they ran into a hard reality. Nearly all the refining equipment in the world is Chinese-made.

That includes separation systems, metallization furnaces, control software and even the spare parts and specialty components required to keep facilities operating.

REalloys partnered with the Saskatchewan Research Council (SRC) to advance a non-Chinese proprietary technology stack.

Artificial Intelligence, Computer Vision and Machine Learning are heavily integrated in the equipment, systems and overall operations. Instead of relying on dozens of operators, the network analyzes thousands of data points. It monitors pressures, chemical balance, thermal conditions, and flow dynamics and adjusts inputs automatically. AI can also identify problems before they escalate, and simulations can be run to test potential optimizations.

The result is reduced labor and operating costs, higher recovery rates, and improved efficiency.

Environmental compliance was also engineered into the system, with water and chemical recycling addressing a main criticism of refining operations.

Pilot-scale testing has validated the modernized process. The facility produced refined metals at approximately 10 tonnes per month, achieving purity levels above 99.5%.^xvii

In high-performance applications, inside a jet engine, submarine, or missile guidance assembly, purity is paramount. Small impurities at high temperatures can reduce torque, destabilize controls, and ultimately lead to system failure.

By modernizing technology, REalloys and the SRC are building processing infrastructure designed to compete on performance, cost, and environmental standards.

Scaling Production of both Rare Earths and Magnets

In collaboration with the SRC, Phase One of rare earth processing is designed to produce approximately 45 tonnes per year of heavy rare earth metals and roughly 525 tonnes per year of light rare earth metals. Initial output will be directed toward defense, aerospace, and other high-performance industrial customers that carry premium value.

Phase Two of rare earth processing expands heavy rare earth production to roughly 245 tonnes annually and light rare earth production to roughly 3,000 tonnes annually, about six times Phase One output.

At that scale, the facility begins to carry real weight in the global market.

Based on projected demand, REalloys’ processing capacity could account for roughly 10% of non-Chinese demand for dysprosium and terbium, and approximately 4% of non-Chinese demand for neodymium and praseodymium oxides.^xviii

The Euclid Facility will also house permanent magnet manufacturing. More than a decade of development and 100,000+ man-hours have gone into refining the process, in collaboration with the U.S. Defense Logistics Agency and the Department of Energy’s Critical Materials Institute.^xix

Euclid is the first step in a broader strategy, serving as both the initial production hub and the blueprint for future growth. REalloys intends to replicate this model with additional facilities, scaling without rebuilding the core processing system each time.

A distributed footprint will shorten supply lines, reduce logistical friction, and add much-needed redundancy.

Focused on U.S. Infrastructure-Critical Magnets

REalloys (NASDAQ:ALOY) is focused on manufacturing magnets that sit at the core of energy and national defense: neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB).

NdFeB magnets are the strongest permanent magnets in widespread commercial use. Their strength-to-weight ratio enables compact, high-output systems. The NdFeB magnet market is projected to expand from roughly $32 billion today to more than $59 billion over the next decade, driven by defense modernization and advanced robotics.^xx

Targeted Off-take Customers Include:

US. Department of Defense
Energy Producers
EV Battery & Motor Supply Chains
OEM Manufacturers
Consumer-Electronics
Advanced Robotics & Automation

Experienced Leadership Across Defense and Industry

Establishing critical materials capacity in North America requires coordination across defense, manufacturing, capital, and government. REalloys has structured its leadership accordingly.

Stephen DuMont, Chairman of the Board

As President of GM Defense and former senior executive at Raytheon, BAE Systems, and Boeing, DuMont has operated inside the defense ecosystem at the highest levels. A former Army Apache pilot, he’s operated the systems REalloys ultimately aims to support.

General Jack Keane, Non-Executive Director

A former four-star general and Vice Chief of Staff of the U.S. Army, Keane has advised multiple Secretaries of Defense and presidents on national security strategy. Keane also served as a member of the Board of Directors at MetLife and General Dynamics.^xxi

David MacNaughton, Non-Executive Director

President of Palantir Canada and former Canadian Ambassador to the United States, MacNaughton brings international expertise. He negotiated at the highest levels during the USMCA period and understands how allied supply chains are structured, both politically and commercially.

Brad Wall, Non-Executive Director

The longest-serving Premier of Saskatchewan in modern history, Wall governed one of the world’s most important uranium and resource jurisdictions. Under his leadership, the province earned a AAA credit rating and expanded global export reach. He understands resource development, regulatory navigation, and industrial credibility.

Lipi Sternheim, CEO

Sternheim has spent more than two decades building vertically integrated resource platforms and structuring capital around strategic materials.

Anupam Ghildyal, COO

Ghildyal has helped build more than ten advanced manufacturing and materials startups, launched over twenty products, and raised more than $1 billion in capital. He was part of the founding team at VulcanForms, now one of North America’s largest metal additive manufacturing platforms.

Andrew Sherman, Head of Research and Development

Sherman brings 35 years in specialty metals and ceramics, more than 50 patents, and two $100 million exits.

Tim Johnston, Technical Advisor

Johnston is a highly experienced entrepreneur and business leader having invented technologies and founded businesses to address the challenges associated with extracting and processing primary and secondary materials for a variety of industries and bring them to public markets.

Joe Kasper, Government Relations Advisor

Kasper adds Washington-level defense policy experience and firsthand exposure to national-security decision-making.

7 Reasons to Watch REalloys (NASDAQ:ALOY)

Fully Integrated from Mine to Magnet: REalloys is building a platform that spans diversified feedstock, separation, metallization, alloying, and finished magnet production. Control across every stage reduces dependency and captures more of the value chain.
Rising Demand for High-Performance Magnets: Global demand for rare earth magnets is projected to expand to a $59 billion market by 2030^xxii, driven by defense modernization, infrastructure upgrades, and advanced manufacturing.
Policy Alignment Is Strengthening: Rare earth processing has become an active federal priority. Companies building domestic capacity operate within a sustained policy tailwind.
Engineering Foundation Is Established: More than 100,000 man-hours have gone into refining the metallurgy and production systems, with validation alongside U.S. defense and energy institutions.
Defined Path to Production: Facility completion is targeted this year, commissioning follows, and first commercial output is expected in early 2027.
Scalable Capacity, Expanding Margins: Phase 1 targets 45 tonnes of heavy rare earth metals annually. Phase 2 expands that to roughly 245 tonnes using the same core processing system, supporting stronger margins as production expands.
Critical End-Market Exposure: Rare earth magnets power missile systems, submarines, fighter jets, robotics platforms, and advanced industrial motors. Few companies operate at the material layer serving both defense and infrastructure at scale.

The United States relies on processing capacity it does not control for materials critical to defense systems, energy infrastructure, aerospace platforms, and advanced manufacturing.

The longer dependency remains unaddressed, the harder it becomes to unwind.

REalloys (NASDAQ:ALOY) is working to rebalance that exposure by rebuilding rare earth processing and magnet production capacity in the United States.

To explore the company’s roadmap and progress in greater detail, visit the REalloys website.

For ongoing updates as development milestones are achieved, please subscribe with your email address below.

ⁱhttps://fortune.com/2025/03/17/critical-minerals-rare-earth-processing-wealth/
ⁱⁱhttps://realloys.com/media/REalloys_CIM_NC_Feb2026.pdf
ⁱⁱⁱhttps://thedefensepost.com/2024/12/13/ukrainian-military-drones-2024/
^ivhttps://www.fdd.org/analysis/2025/10/10/china-is-a-key-factor-in-ukraines-surging-drone-industry-beijings-new-export-controls-may-ground-it/
^vhttps://www.cnn.com/2026/01/22/business/greenland-rare-earth-minerals-trump
^vihttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-10/why-china-will-still-dominate-rare-earths-for-a-long-time
^viihttps://web.mit.edu/12.000/www/m2016/finalwebsite/problems/limitedaccess.html
^viiihttps://a16z.com/its-time-to-mine-securing-critical-minerals/
^ixhttps://a16z.com/its-time-to-mine-securing-critical-minerals/
^xhttps://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/27/business/china-rare-earth-export-controls.html
^xihttps://www.reuters.com/world/china-hits-back-us-tariffs-with-rare-earth-export-controls-2025-04-04/
^xiihttps://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-says-no-critical-minerals-tariffs-now-will-seek-overseas-supplies-2026-01-14/
^xiiihttps://realloys.com/media/REalloys_CIM_NC_Feb2026.pdf
^xivhttps://realloys.com/media/REalloys_CIM_NC_Feb2026.pdf
^xvhttps://realloys.com/media/REalloys_CIM_NC_Feb2026.pdf
^xvihttps://realloys.com/media/REalloys_CIM_NC_Feb2026.pdf
^xviihttps://realloys.com/media/REalloys_CIM_NC_Feb2026.pdf
^xviiihttps://realloys.com/media/REalloys_CIM_NC_Feb2026.pdf
^xixhttps://realloys.com/media/REalloys_CIM_NC_Feb2026.pdf
^xxhttps://www.precedenceresearch.com/ndfeb-permanent-magnets-market
^xxihttps://www.acp-usa.org/person/general-ret-john-m-keane/
^xxiihttps://www.precedenceresearch.com/ndfeb-permanent-magnets-market

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LATEST NEWS

Blackboxstocks Announces that NASDAQ Approves Listing of REalloys; Merger Expected to Close Today after Close of the Market

February 24, 2026

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